Sci-Fi Economics

$2.9 trillion. If you guessed "GDP of France," you weren't far off, but not correct. That's the total
Sci-Fi Economics
By Changeist • Issue #29 • View online
$2.9 trillion. If you guessed “GDP of France,” you weren’t far off, but not correct. That’s the total market cap of Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook and Microsoft, as of mid-May 2017, according to Alexis Madrigal in his first piece on return to The Atlantic linked below. Granted, this number is less a solid economic measure and more the momentary temperature of collective market fever dreams, but it gives a sense of just how enormous the value of what these five organization control, now or in a probably future. This is not strictly ad money or merchandise sales being counted — its also in part the notional perception that each of these companies will control to some measure a critical piece of both physical and digital infrastructure of the world we will live in. 
If you thought seat licenses were lucrative in the 1990s, wait until its city blocks in the 2020s. All are becoming increasingly embedded in physical systems, supply chains, mobility platforms and the architecture of data that makes these and other elements of the real world. One had only to notice how many seemingly incidental displays were malfunctioning in and around mass transit systems during the recent WannaCry ransomware outbreak to get a sense of where these companies systems are entwined with delivery of public conveniences. AWS, WhatsApp, Gmail and Facebook Messenger are now the mission critical sinews of the modern world. But you knew this. 
The sci-fi economics piece comes in when the products, services and standards of these and other, newer organizations, like the mad Musk chaebol made up of Tesla, Solar City, the new Boring Company and surely others, begin to truly realize the value of controlling—or controlling access to—assets at global, or superglobal scale. Think operating systems for mass mobility. Think the next generation of resource systems. Think also about seizing IP at gene level as well, in the microscales where CRISPR entrepreneurs will operate. Who will run the services that bring the first asteroid-born precious metals back to Earth? Who will patent pay-per-cell business models? Follow the infrastructure to find the installs. The sums will be on an order of magnitude that makes selling databases pale in comparison. This is why those database billionaires like to put hardware on streets and in skies so much. They know.  
Below are a few articles that probe some small corners of this macrohorizon. Enjoy and send back thoughts. 

How to Future
Check out How to Future, our program of 1,2, and 3 day module-based workshops that teach teams tools, vocabulary and techniques to sense, make sense of and communicate possible futures with others. We can spend a day with you to improve your future sensing, scenario or storytelling and prototyping skills. 
On The Agenda
Changeist recently refreshed its Facebook page. If that’s your platform of choice, you can follow us here.  We’ll be adding info on upcoming talks, events, and visual highlights of projects and more. 
Writing Stories About The Future Worlds - YouTube
Media Future Week 2017
Keynote Scott Smith - MFW17 - on Vimeo
How Will We Work? - Vienna Biennale 2017: Roboter. Arbeit. Unsere Zukunft.
Sci-Fi Economics
The Weird Thing About Today's Internet - The Atlantic

China, India plans for electric cars threaten to cut gasoline demand
| Reuters
The Future of European Transit: Driverless and Utilitarian - The New York Times
The Rise of the Fat Start-Up - The New York Times
The Best Way To Transmit Satellite Data? In Trucks. Really | WIRED
The Network
Group exhibition | Brakke Grond
Likewise, our team has been on the road delivering provocative talks and workshops. If you are interested in having a member of Changeist kick off an event or provide insights for internal sessions, contact us here
As always, if this is not of interest, feel free to unsubscribe. If you think a friend or colleague would benefit from what we share, please pass this on or recommend.
Find Changeist on Twitter, Medium, Facebook, the Web, Instagram, or just email.
Did you enjoy this issue?

A periodic look into research threads on critical futures, strategy, post-normal innovation, providing a look over the shoulder of the team at Changeist. Each issue includes brief analysis, links, updates, and occasional easter eggs.

Carefully curated by Changeist with Revue. If you were forwarded this newsletter and you like it, you can subscribe here. If you don't want these updates anymore, please unsubscribe here.
A-Lab: Lab 210, Overhoeksplein 2, 1031 KS Amsterdam, The Netherlands